State bragging rights on line as Hoosiers visit Boilermakers

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/21/2009 - West Lafayette, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Intrastate rivals collide in West Lafayette today, as the Indiana Hoosiers challenge the 19th-ranked Purdue Boilermakers in Big Ten Conference action.

The Hoosiers are in the midst of one of their worst seasons in recent memory, sporting a 6-19 record. Worse yet, Indiana is just 1-12 in conference -- its only league win coming over Iowa in a 68-60 final at home on February 4th. One of the youngest teams in the country, the Hoosiers have lost four straight and they have yet to win a true road test, going 0-8 thus far. IU was a 68-51 loser in Thursday's home game against Wisconsin.

At the other end of the spectrum, Purdue continues its quest for the Big Ten regular-season title as it brings a 20-6 mark, which includes a 9-4 league ledger, into today's tilt. The Boilermakers have run off three consecutive victories, the most recent of which being a 72-54 pasting of No. 6 Michigan State at home on Tuesday night. That triumph was the team's first over a ranked opponent this season and moved Purdue to within a game of the Spartans in the Big Ten standings. It also improved the Boilermakers' home mark this season to 13-2.

Purdue owns a 107-84 advantage in the all-time series with Indiana, however, the Hoosiers have won six of the last seven meetings.

Indiana has just two double-digit scorers on the roster, thus the reason the team is averaging a mere 60.5 ppg this season. Devan Dumes, who recently returned to the lineup after serving a two-game suspension, nets 13.7 ppg behind a team-best 52 three-pointers, while Tom Pritchard turns in 10.3 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. Verdell Jones III has taken his game up a notch recently, averaging 14 ppg over the last five games to raise his season average to 9.5 ppg (10.7 ppg in Big Ten bouts). Jones poured in 16 points and Dumes had 12 in Thursday's clash with Wisconsin, but the Badgers shot 49 percent from the field, including 60.9 percent in the second half, and scored 20 points off 15 Indiana turnovers to earn the victory. The Hoosiers got off to a fast start, hitting 50 percent of their field goal attempts in the first half, but a 27.8 percent showing in the closing period proved fatal.

Purdue forced 22 turovers and held Michigan State to 32.7 percent shooting in picking up the huge win over the Spartans on Tuesday night. JaJuan Johnson led the Boilermakers with 17 points, 13 of which he scored in the second half, while E'Twaun Moore had 13 and Robbie Hummell, making his first appearance since missing time with a hairline fracture in his lower back, chipped in with 11. Purdue knocked down 48.1 percent of its field goal attempts and scored 23 points off MSU's multitude of miscues. Purdue is outscoring the opposition by an average of 11.7 ppg (69.3 ppg to 57.6 ppg) this season, shooting 44.9 percent from the field compared to 37.1 percent by the enemy. The Boilermakers come up with close to 16 turnovers per clash while dishing out more than 15 assists. Johnson is the team's leading scorer through 26 games, netting 13.6 ppg on the strength of his .568 FG percentage. Moore (13.5 ppg) and Hummel (12.3 ppg) are also averaging double digits in scoring, with the former serving as one of the team's primary playmakers (74 assists), and the latter its top rebounder (7.1 rpg).

Horaeracing NCAA Basketball Betting News


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Super Bowl 2009 Betting

Super Bowl 2009 Betting propositions

Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.

Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.

Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.

If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.

Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.

By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.

In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.

So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.

While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.

There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.

In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:

SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.

XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.

XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.

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